Gold smashed through $4,300 an ounce on Thursday for the first time in history, lifting its total market value past $30 trillion, according to CNBC data. Spot prices reached $4,312, while U.S. December futures hit $4,328.70 — both unprecedented highs.
The rally comes as global investors rush toward safe assets amid intensifying U.S.–China trade tensions, mounting regional bank losses, and growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates before year-end.
“Investors are running out of places to hide,” said Jed Ellerbroek, portfolio manager at Argent Capital Management. “And right now, gold is the one thing they still trust.”
While gold climbed, Wall Street tumbled. The Dow Jones dropped 301 points to 45,952, the S&P 500 fell 0.6%, and the Nasdaq slid 0.5% as regional bank stocks were hammered by fresh credit loss concerns. Zions Bank plunged 13% after disclosing defaults from two borrowers, while Western Alliance sank 11% after flagging a fraud case.
Adding to the turmoil, First Brands and Tricolor Holdings — both tied to the auto finance sector — filed for bankruptcy this week, deepening anxiety about the private credit market.
The uncertainty was compounded by President Donald Trump’s escalating trade measures, including a proposed 100% tariff on all Chinese imports and potential bans on select commodities. The announcements rattled investors and triggered a sharp flight from equities into commodities and bonds.
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) spiked to its highest level since May, while the 10-year Treasury yield slipped below 4%. The U.S. dollar also weakened, amplifying gold’s upward momentum.
Bank of America now forecasts an average gold price of $4,400 in 2026, with a potential climb to $5,000 next year if buying accelerates. The bank’s analysts estimate that a further 28% surge in investor demand could send gold toward $6,000 — a level once considered impossible.
As equities falter, rare earth trade disputes deepen, and credit markets wobble, the old safe haven seems to have reclaimed its throne. For now, gold’s glitter has never shone brighter.
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